Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:23:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B1 0xb140…5845 crypto 93 markets active 7d ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$170 (-10%) realized −$170 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate61%57W / 36L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day21.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$250
14 days−$246
30 days−$246
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$246
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-24.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -17.1% -25.0% 60% 43% -27.2%
≤30d 93 -16.9% -24.8% 61% 51% -23.3%
≤90d 93 -16.9% -24.8% 61% 51% -23.3%
all 93 -16.9% -24.8% 61% 51% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.8% 51% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -32.0% 37% -30.6%
15% -38.5% 14% -37.3%
20% -44.6% 6% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -22% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$13 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.48 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$170
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses57 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)93 / 93
History coverage7d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day21.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 93 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $227 −$227 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $228 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $211 +$18 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $185 +$25 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $103 +$56 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $41 +$19 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$6 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $31 +$26 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $227 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $226 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $228 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $229 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $211 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $211 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $185 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $159 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $31 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $60 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $41 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $18 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $17 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 180 history records