Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb14a…3338
crypto · 55 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$34 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses35 / 18
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)53 / 55
History coverage14d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$26
14 days−$15
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 5¢ 7¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+38%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 25¢ 19¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-23%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5 No 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 +$7 +140%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 09 $5 +$3 +67%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$9 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$3 +33%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $15 −$12 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$5 +48%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$6 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 04 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 04 $24 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 04 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$7 +126%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 Jun 04 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 01 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 01 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 01 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 01 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 01 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 01 $6 +$4 +63%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 01 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 01 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 01 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 01 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 01 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 01 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 01 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$4 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% +$25
sports 17% −$44
other 5% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 1h
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5 BUY No 24¢ $3 3d
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 BUY Yes 59¢ $5 3d
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 BUY Yes 41¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 12¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev SELL Flavio Cobolli 11¢ $3 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 19¢ $5 5d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 22¢ $6 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $11 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 67¢ $25 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $20 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $6 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +3.9% -6.0% 50% 50% -29.3%
≤30d 53 +9.8% -0.6% 66% 55% -15.5%
≤90d 53 +9.8% -0.6% 66% 55% -15.5%
all 53 +9.8% -0.6% 66% 55% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.6% 55% -15.5%
10% -10.2% 49% -23.6%
15% -18.8% 38% -31.0%
20% -26.8% 32% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.09 · official $6.90 (match) · 121 history records