Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:17:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb153…6383
crypto · 34 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$517 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$169 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$169
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses16 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day519.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$169
7 days+$169
14 days+$169
30 days+$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $166 $0 −$166 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $223 $0 −$223 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $166 $0 −$166 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $89 +$48 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$31 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $68 −$67 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$47 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $202 +$86 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$105 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $207 +$70 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $332 +$271 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $139 +$195 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $110 −$108 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $189 +$268 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $206 +$53 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$21 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$23 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$12 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $192 −$190 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $170 −$166 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $55 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $224 −$223 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $169 −$166 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $55 +$40 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $171 +$133 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $171 +$82 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $90 +$42 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $89 −$34 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $66 +$78 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$169
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $20 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $52 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $82 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -13.0% -21.3% 47% 44% -5.1%
≤30d 34 -13.0% -21.3% 47% 44% -5.1%
≤90d 34 -13.0% -21.3% 47% 44% -5.1%
all 34 -13.0% -21.3% 47% 44% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover519.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 44% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 41% -14.2%
15% -35.7% 35% -22.5%
20% -42.0% 26% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 536 history records