Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:20:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb155…ca84
sports · 644 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,836 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,488 · open −$371
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$970
Realized−$1,488
Unrealized−$371
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses303 / 319
Est. fees paid−$239
Open positions22
Markets (closed)622 / 644
History coverage5d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day503.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 22 History 622 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$429
7 days−$1,488
14 days−$1,488
30 days−$1,488
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 43¢ 100¢ $98 $225 +$127 (+130%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 48¢ $195 $185 −$11 (-5%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 52¢ 60¢ $97 $111 +$15 (+15%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Samsung Lions 48¢ 81¢ $32 $53 +$22 (+69%)
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Bangladesh 63¢ 63¢ $51 $50 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs LYON 54¢ 52¢ $46 $45 −$1 (-3%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 77¢ 100¢ $31 $40 +$9 (+30%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 56¢ 100¢ $22 $40 +$18 (+78%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 63¢ 100¢ $25 $40 +$15 (+59%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 Over 94¢ 94¢ $38 $37 −$0 (-1%)
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem Cesar Bouchelaghem 95¢ 62¢ $41 $27 −$14 (-34%)
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 60¢ 37¢ $36 $22 −$13 (-38%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Clutchain 94¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+6%)
Sonego vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 23.5 Over 52¢ 50¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-5%)
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem Dominick Mosejczuk 29¢ 38¢ $11 $15 +$4 (+32%)
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon Maxwell Mckennon 50¢ 20¢ $34 $14 −$20 (-60%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SSG Landers 60¢ 18¢ $24 $7 −$17 (-69%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 56¢ 92¢ $3 $6 +$2 (+65%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Julia Avdeeva 64¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+56%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Netherlands 21¢ 32¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+55%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Over 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5) Detroit Tigers 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Hapoel Holon BC 4¢ 0¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-88%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Walczaki 47¢ 0¢ $259 $0 −$258 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 33¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $87 −$22 -26%
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Jangjun Kim Jun 14 $121 +$29 +24%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 13 $11 +$19 +178%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $19 +$11 +57%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 +$12 +335%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$20 +203%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $113 +$82 +72%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $44 +$16 +35%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $19 +$11 +60%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 +$5 +180%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $30 +$30 +101%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $19 +$11 +59%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $35 +$25 +70%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $17 +$38 +215%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $47 +$33 +70%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 +$23 +344%
ITF Decatur: Lea Ma vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska Jun 13 $46 +$2 +4%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +75%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $106 +$4 +3%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $209 +$55 +26%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $400 −$400 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $17 +$13 +79%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Ivan Biletic Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $41 +$9 +21%
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 13 $1 +$4 +365%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $276 +$98 +35%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $18 +$3 +14%
ITF Merzig: Marie Weckerle vs Valentina Steiner Jun 13 $73 +$5 +6%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Jun 13 $146 +$4 +3%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $6 +$2 +45%
ITF Kayseri: Haydar Cem Gokpinar vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 13 $55 +$3 +6%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dinko Dinev Jun 13 $146 +$12 +8%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$1,462
other 7% −$198
crypto 1% −$200
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 63¢ $25 22m
Sonego vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 52¢ $21 27m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 28¢ $1 28m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 44¢ $18 28m
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem BUY Dominick Mosejczuk 52¢ $5 30m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 6¢ $2 32m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 39¢ $6 39m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 39¢ $10 39m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 39¢ $16 41m
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem BUY Dominick Mosejczuk 21¢ $6 42m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 42¢ $17 43m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 39¢ $1 49m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 39¢ $3 49m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 64¢ $3 52m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 39¢ $4 53m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 68¢ $2 55m
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon BUY Maxwell Mckennon 29¢ $1 56m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 48¢ $2 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 56¢ $3 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 59¢ $14 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 64¢ $17 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 17¢ $2 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 64¢ $9 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 17¢ $0 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 64¢ $0 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 22¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 59¢ $24 1h
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp BUY Sandro Kopp 10¢ $3 1h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 42¢ $9 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 63¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 622 -10.1% -18.6% 49% 34% -14.9%
≤30d 622 -10.1% -18.6% 49% 34% -14.9%
≤90d 622 -10.1% -18.6% 49% 34% -14.9%
all 622 -10.1% -18.6% 49% 34% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover503.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 34% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 26% -23.0%
15% -33.5% 21% -30.5%
20% -40.1% 16% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $970.12 · official $968.34 (match) · 3500 history records