Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:04:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb158…a1ef
crypto · 977 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$124 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$124 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$124
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses579 / 397
Open positions1
Markets (closed)976 / 977
History coverage19d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day132.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 976 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$63
14 days−$103
30 days−$124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 51¢ 54¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$124
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 434 -4.1% -13.2% 60% 8% -12.2%
≤30d 976 -7.3% -16.1% 59% 10% -11.9%
≤90d 976 -7.3% -16.1% 59% 10% -11.9%
all 976 -7.3% -16.1% 59% 10% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover132.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 10% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 7% -20.3%
15% -31.5% 6% -28.0%
20% -38.2% 4% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.00 · official $5.00 (match) · 3500 history records