Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:46:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb159…deeb
crypto · 61 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$33 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses57 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)61 / 61
History coverage133d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Will Solana dip to $70 on May 31? Jun 01 $1 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? Jun 01 $1 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down on May 31? Jun 01 $1 $0 +2%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs BALU (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Cl May 31 $1 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $90 on May 28? May 29 $1 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on May 28? May 28 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28? May 28 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? May 28 $177 −$12 -7%
Will XRP reach $1.40 on May 27? May 28 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27? May 27 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 27? May 27 $1 $0 +6%
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 May 27 $104 −$11 -10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 26? May 27 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 26? May 27 $1 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $110 in May? May 27 $8 −$7 -92%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? May 27 $57 −$6 -11%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 26? May 26 $1 $0 +1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 26? May 26 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on April 29? Apr 29 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 29? Apr 29 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29? Apr 29 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 3? Apr 28 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 3? Apr 28 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 3? Apr 28 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 9? Apr 03 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 9? Apr 03 $1 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Champio Apr 03 $1 $0 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 3? Mar 09 $1 $0 +0%
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? Mar 09 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3? Mar 09 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 3? Mar 09 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1? Mar 03 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 1? Mar 03 $1 $0 +0%
Canucks vs. Kraken Mar 03 $1 $0 +6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 1? Mar 03 $1 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Mar 03 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28? Mar 03 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 28? Mar 03 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 13? Feb 27 $1 $0 +1%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $350? Feb 27 $1 $0 +1%
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? Feb 27 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 13? Feb 27 $1 $0 +0%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 9 above $2.00? Feb 27 $1 $0 +1%
Bulls vs. Celtics Feb 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 12? Feb 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12? Feb 13 $1 $0 +1%
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? Feb 13 $1 $0 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? Feb 12 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$35
sports 4% +$2
world 1% $0
tech 1% $0
other 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 97¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 6¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 21¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 12¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 85¢ $9 2h
Will Solana dip to $70 on May 31? BUY No 100¢ $1 12d
BNB Up or Down on May 31? BUY Up 98¢ $1 12d
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $1 12d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs BALU (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Cl BUY LGD Gaming 99¢ $1 12d
Will Solana reach $90 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28? BUY Down 99¢ $1 15d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 45¢ $23 15d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $36 15d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on May 28? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 15d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 48¢ $62 15d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 47¢ $61 16d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 47¢ $4 16d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 48¢ $68 16d
Will XRP reach $1.40 on May 27? BUY No 99¢ $1 16d
Ethereum Up or Down on May 27? BUY Down 94¢ $1 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 16d
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 SELL Yes 48¢ $64 16d
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 SELL Yes 49¢ $5 16d
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 SELL Yes 49¢ $4 16d
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 SELL Yes 49¢ $19 16d
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 BUY Yes 50¢ $104 16d
Will Solana reach $110 in May? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 16d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 52¢ $42 16d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $51 16d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 26? BUY No 99¢ $1 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +35.3% +22.4% 100% 100% +6.8%
≤30d 20 -1.6% -11.0% 80% 10% -17.8%
≤90d 29 -0.5% -10.0% 86% 10% -17.5%
all 61 +0.5% -9.1% 93% 5% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 5% -16.7%
10% -17.8% 2% -24.7%
15% -25.7% 2% -32.0%
20% -33.0% 2% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 135 history records