Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:50:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb15b…edd0
crypto · 790 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$656 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$727 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$727
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses444 / 346
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)790 / 790
History coverage103d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day12.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 790 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$364
sports 29% −$368
other 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -10.9% -19.4% 51% 51% -14.0%
≤30d 59 -10.9% -19.4% 51% 51% -14.0%
≤90d 774 -8.0% -16.7% 56% 55% -18.9%
all 790 -7.6% -16.4% 56% 55% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.4% 55% -18.7%
10% -24.4% 51% -26.5%
15% -31.7% 41% -33.6%
20% -38.4% 31% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2076 history records