trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +103.5% | +84.1% | 100% | 100% | +54.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +32.8% | +20.1% | 75% | 75% | -7.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +7.1% | -3.1% | 62% | 62% | -9.8% |
| all | 76 | -23.2% | -30.5% | 45% | 45% | -19.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.5% | 45% | -19.1% |
| 10% | -37.1% | 39% | -26.9% |
| 15% | -43.2% | 33% | -33.9% |
| 20% | -48.8% | 28% | -40.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $426 | $423 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $167 | +$91 | +55% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $339 | +$63 | +18% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $339 | +$54 | +16% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $154 | +$500 | +325% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $242 | +$55 | +23% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $528 | −$518 | -98% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $415 | +$107 | +26% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $310 | −$306 | -99% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 16 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Madrid Open: Talia Gibson vs Emiliana Arango | Apr 22 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 22 | $12 | +$10 | +83% |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Apr 15 | $15 | +$7 | +48% |
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? | Mar 31 | $43 | −$42 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Mar 20 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Hawks | Mar 20 | $23 | +$18 | +79% |
| Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? | Mar 02 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-27? | Feb 27 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchs | Feb 16 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14? | Feb 14 | $21 | −$19 | -88% |
| Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets | Feb 04 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Feb 04 | $32 | +$61 | +194% |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Jan 23 | $33 | +$24 | +74% |
| Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 23 | $93 | −$46 | -50% |
| Sharks vs. Kings | Jan 07 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans | Dec 11 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | Dec 11 | $13 | +$4 | +28% |
| Texans vs. Colts | Nov 30 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Raiders | Nov 27 | $24 | +$13 | +56% |
| Penguins vs. Predators | Nov 14 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Packers | Nov 10 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| North Carolina vs. Syracuse | Oct 31 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Everton win on 2025-10-26? | Oct 31 | $12 | +$8 | +70% |
| Predators vs. Maple Leafs | Oct 14 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Raptors | Oct 14 | $14 | +$12 | +82% |
| Tigers vs. Guardians | Oct 10 | $8 | +$7 | +82% |
| Athletics vs. Red Sox | Oct 01 | $11 | +$7 | +70% |
| Pirates vs. Reds | Sep 23 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Orioles vs. Blue Jays | Sep 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Royals vs. Guardians | Sep 13 | $8 | +$8 | +89% |
| Mets vs. Tigers | Sep 09 | $8 | +$7 | +85% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30? | Sep 02 | $12 | +$5 | +41% |
| Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | Aug 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Brewers vs. Reds | Aug 24 | $10 | +$9 | +85% |
| Lynx vs Liberty | Aug 10 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Mariners | Aug 03 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Pirates | Jul 22 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Jul 22 | $19 | +$6 | +33% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Jul 16 | $12 | +$11 | +96% |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Jul 05 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Mets vs. Pirates | Jul 05 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |