Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:55:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B1 0xb162…b240 crypto 1502 markets active 2h ago coverage 59d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 58d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$3 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate76%1149W / 353L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day54.7pace
Fees−$18est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$118
14 days+$0
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 73% −$178
sports 19% +$95
other 3% −$6
world 3% +$5
politics 2% −$2
finance 0% −$3
tech 0% +$1
culture 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 265 +0.2% -9.3% 91% 11% -6.1%
≤30d 1141 -2.5% -11.8% 78% 46% -10.2%
≤90d 1502 -1.8% -11.2% 76% 38% -10.2%
all 1502 -1.8% -11.2% 76% 38% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 38% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 25% -18.8%
15% -27.4% 12% -26.6%
20% -34.6% 4% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
49% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

59d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1149 / 353
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1502 / 1502
History coverage59d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day54.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1502 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$5 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$7 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$5 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records