Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:35:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb176…567c
sports · 531 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$140 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$196 · open −$55
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$317
Realized+$196
Unrealized−$55
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses292 / 212
Est. fees paid−$60
Open positions27
Markets (closed)504 / 531
History coverage186d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 27 History 504 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$208
14 days+$215
30 days+$215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 60¢ 73¢ $54 $66 +$12 (+22%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 72¢ 100¢ $26 $36 +$10 (+40%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 44¢ 100¢ $16 $36 +$20 (+127%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 61¢ 49¢ $42 $34 −$8 (-19%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 61¢ 100¢ $18 $29 +$11 (+64%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 48¢ 51¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+7%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 46¢ 100¢ $8 $17 +$9 (+118%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 48¢ 27¢ $24 $13 −$10 (-43%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 91¢ 100¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+10%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 65¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+53%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 69¢ 68¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 51¢ 56¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+9%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 51¢ 34¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-34%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 72¢ 70¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ 92¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+32%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 71¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+40%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 64¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 38¢ 30¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-22%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 57¢ 68¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+19%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 50¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 37¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 45¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 12¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-29%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 65¢ 82¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+26%)
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) New York Yankees 64¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $80 +$18 +23%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 +$3 +48%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $13 +$13 +98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $59 −$22 -37%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $57 +$10 +18%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $8 −$2 -30%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $6 +$6 +112%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $26 +$6 +22%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $86 −$62 -72%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$6 +30%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $8 +$10 +124%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $13 +$2 +12%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 +$3 +250%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $17 −$6 -34%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $6 +$3 +57%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $22 −$8 -38%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $19 +$3 +16%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +86%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +44%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $38 +$10 +26%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +10%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $39 +$12 +30%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $30 −$6 -22%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $6 +$2 +27%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
South Africa leading at halftime? Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $41 +$2 +6%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $26 −$1 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$234
other 7% −$94
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 66¢ $2 0m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 48¢ $1 4m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 68¢ $1 4m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 61¢ $2 5m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 54¢ $1 5m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 60¢ $1 9m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 71¢ $1 10m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 56¢ $1 12m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 63¢ $1 13m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 39¢ $1 14m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 84¢ $4 14m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 77¢ $2 15m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 62¢ $1 17m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 39¢ $1 17m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $2 17m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $2 18m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $1 18m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 68¢ $1 20m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 65¢ $1 20m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 70¢ $1 20m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 35¢ $1 21m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 96¢ $3 21m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 67¢ $1 22m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 36¢ $1 22m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 16¢ $1 24m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 86¢ $4 24m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 64¢ $1 27m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 64¢ $2 27m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 95¢ $1 28m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 82¢ $4 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 490 -1.5% -10.9% 58% 47% -5.1%
≤30d 499 -1.0% -10.4% 58% 47% -4.9%
≤90d 499 -1.0% -10.4% 58% 47% -4.9%
all 504 -1.1% -10.5% 58% 47% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 47% -5.5%
10% -19.1% 35% -14.5%
15% -26.9% 26% -22.8%
20% -34.1% 18% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $316.99 · official $313.28 · 2849 history records