Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:44:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb18d…045a
crypto · 31 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$7,777 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,944 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,944
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses16 / 15
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage86d
Avg bet$949
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,432
7 days−$9,538
14 days−$9,538
30 days−$9,538
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $650 $0 −$650 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $337 −$337 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $410 −$290 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $511 +$29 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $308 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $536 +$128 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $610 −$248 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $407 +$33 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $408 +$141 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $127 −$29 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $509 −$83 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $202 +$36 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $203 +$58 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$25 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $303 +$47 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $151 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $101 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $228 +$26 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$24 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$16 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $477 +$14 +3%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $495 −$18 -4%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $287 −$287 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $654 −$650 -100%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 10 $9,072 −$6,077 -67%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $10,611 −$2,030 -19%
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 20 Apr 21 $1,156 +$277 +24%
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? Mar 23 $1,148 +$318 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 75% −$7,512
crypto 19% −$491
other 7% −$941
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $104 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $120 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $102 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $66 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $83 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -22.2% -29.6% 48% 31% -41.4%
≤30d 29 -22.2% -29.6% 48% 31% -41.4%
≤90d 31 -19.1% -26.8% 52% 35% -37.0%
all 31 -19.1% -26.8% 52% 35% -37.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.8% 35% -37.0%
10% -33.8% 19% -43.1%
15% -40.2% 3% -48.6%
20% -46.0% 0% -53.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 150 history records