Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:46:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B1 0xb190…cd9f crypto 1210 markets active 2h ago coverage 74d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 74d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$167 (-2%) realized −$167 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate41%606W / 883L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day38.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,542
7 days−$1,561
14 days−$1,614
30 days−$1,614
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$237
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-32.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 739 -43.8% -49.1% 29% 28% -45.7%
≤30d 817 -41.4% -47.0% 31% 28% -43.5%
≤90d 1489 -25.1% -32.2% 41% 37% -30.0%
all 1489 -25.1% -32.2% 41% 37% -30.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.2% 37% -30.0%
10% ← realistic here -38.7% 33% -36.7%
15% -44.6% 28% -42.8%
20% -50.0% 21% -48.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -23% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -23% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -44% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.5 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

74d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses606 / 883
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1489 / 1210
History coverage74d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day38.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1489 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$4 -193%
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records