Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:21:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb199…814e
sports · 3 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$7 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage24d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $38 −$6 -15%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 20 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 41¢ $3 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 42¢ $0 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 42¢ $3 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 53¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 48¢ $0 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 48¢ $4 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 51¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 51¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 52¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 52¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 53¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 57¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 58¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 59¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 76¢ $2 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 76¢ $1 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 76¢ $2 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 78¢ $5 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 64¢ $5 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 67¢ $5 2h
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 24d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-71.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -53.3% -57.8% 0% 0% -54.4%
≤30d 3 -68.9% -71.8% 0% 0% -58.8%
≤90d 3 -68.9% -71.8% 0% 0% -58.8%
all 3 -68.9% -71.8% 0% 0% -58.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -71.8% 0% -58.8%
10% -74.5% 0% -62.8%
15% -77.0% 0% -66.4%
20% -79.2% 0% -69.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 22 history records