Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:12:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb19c…2467
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$701 -49%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$188 · open −$494
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$593
Realized−$188
Unrealized−$494
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 26
Open positions11
Markets (closed)26 / 37
History coverage47d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 11 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 9¢ 4¢ $624 $278 −$346 (-55%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $83 −$17 (-17%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $83 −$17 (-17%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $79 $59 −$20 (-25%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes 9¢ 3¢ $50 $15 −$35 (-71%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $8 $13 +$4 (+50%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-42%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $7 $3 −$4 (-53%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $7 $2 −$4 (-66%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-83%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 18? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 30? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30? No 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 1? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30? No 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3? No 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? May 15 $73 −$70 -96%
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? May 15 $27 −$26 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 18? May 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18? May 11 $21 −$20 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 17? May 11 $4 −$4 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April? Apr 27 $3 −$3 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4? Apr 27 $8 −$8 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Apr 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4? Apr 27 $5 −$5 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3? Apr 27 $5 −$5 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 3? Apr 27 $7 −$6 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3? Apr 27 $4 −$4 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2? Apr 27 $2 −$2 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2? Apr 27 $3 −$3 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 2? Apr 27 $2 −$2 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1? Apr 27 $2 −$2 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? Apr 27 $2 −$2 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 1? Apr 27 $2 −$2 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 30? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 30? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30? Apr 27 $2 −$2 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -93%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? Apr 27 $2 −$2 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% −$346
economics 30% −$111
politics 7% −$96
crypto 7% −$88
world 4% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $7 1h
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June BUY No 0¢ $6 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $83 2h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $105 2h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $105 2h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $105 2h
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? BUY Yes 1¢ $60 29d
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $61 29d
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 29d
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 29d
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $11 29d
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 30d
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 30d
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? BUY Yes 2¢ $7 30d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee BUY Yes 6¢ $7 32d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 2¢ $7 32d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee BUY Yes 3¢ $9 32d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $10 32d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 18? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 32d
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 32d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18? BUY Yes 7¢ $21 32d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 17? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 33d
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $31 33d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? BUY Yes 9¢ $50 33d
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $314 33d
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $190 33d
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $209 33d
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 46d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 47d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $6 47d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 26 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 26 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $592.87 · official $592.93 (match) · 51 history records