Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:23:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B1 0xb1ad…11f7 crypto 654 markets active 2h ago coverage 63d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 63d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$75 (-1%) realized −$75 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%642W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day10.6pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$49
14 days+$44
30 days+$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% +$5
finance 11% +$24
other 10% +$28
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 +2.9% -6.9% 100% 1% -7.4%
≤30d 319 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 1% -8.7%
≤90d 654 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 1% -9.1%
all 654 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 1% -9.1%
10% -18.0% 0% -17.8%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$18 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.27 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

63d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses642 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)654 / 654
History coverage63d ⚠
Avg bet$21
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 654 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 8? Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $49 +$4 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET Jun 17 $47 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$1 +4%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 16? Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 16? Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 16? Jun 16 $30 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 16? Jun 16 $29 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15? Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? Jun 15 $30 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 93¢ $49 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $19 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $30 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $16 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $47 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $17 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 24h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.82 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records