Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:48:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb1bf…f74b
sports · 36 markets active 3h ago
4.5score
+$39,550 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37,054 · open −$80
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,140
Realized+$37,054
Unrealized−$80
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses18 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$360
Open positions2
Markets (closed)34 / 36
History coverage226d
Avg bet$4,890
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 2 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50,339
7 days+$53,208
14 days+$56,322
30 days+$56,322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $4,800 $4,750 −$50 (-1%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $420 $390 −$30 (-7%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 75¢ 0¢ $5,650 $0 −$5,650 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Gen.G 73¢ 0¢ $8,110 $0 −$8,110 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 66¢ 0¢ $9,281 $0 −$9,281 (-100%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $3,696 $0 −$3,696 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner T1 3¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Qatar 1¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Over 20¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 38¢ 0¢ $1,330 $0 −$1,330 (-100%)
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1,020 $0 −$1,020 (-100%)
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Scotland 14¢ 0¢ $420 $0 −$420 (-100%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $535 +$8,211 +1534%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5,466 +$24,503 +448%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5,574 +$4,415 +79%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $1,330 −$1,330 -100%
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Jun 14 $420 −$420 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $6,581 +$709 +11%
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Jun 13 $260 −$260 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3,480 +$3,520 +101%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $140 −$140 -100%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $14,643 +$15,897 +109%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on Jun 12 $3,697 −$3,696 -100%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,767 +$3,105 +176%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2,070 +$930 +45%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2,256 −$1,682 -74%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $248 +$536 +216%
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Jun 07 $8,739 +$3,114 +36%
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? Mar 31 $1,994 −$1,965 -99%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? Mar 31 $9,012 −$8,925 -99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? Mar 31 $4,300 −$4,049 -94%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 08 $9,999 +$5,396 +54%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 09 $29,278 +$952 +3%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Nov 09 $3,360 −$300 -9%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Nov 09 $660 +$3,736 +566%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) Nov 02 $18,150 +$1,830 +10%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Nov 02 $3,480 +$2,262 +65%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Nov 02 $285 +$21 +7%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Nov 01 $9,281 −$9,281 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Nov 01 $6,846 +$2,435 +36%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 01 $8,110 −$8,110 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Nov 01 $5,650 −$5,650 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) Oct 31 $2,020 +$2,380 +118%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% −$295
other 15% +$34,681
tech 10% +$12,181
crypto 8% −$8,975
world 7% +$3,431
finance 2% −$4,049
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $4,875 2h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Australia 100¢ $4,888 3h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $29,969 3h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Australia 79¢ $933 3h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Australia 79¢ $10 3h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Australia 79¢ $3 3h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Australia 79¢ $2,014 3h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Australia 79¢ $898 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $278 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $0 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $1 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $2 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $0 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $357 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $343 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $13 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $5 5h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 5¢ $181 5h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 5¢ $124 5h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $2,766 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $9,990 5h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 5¢ $5 5h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 5¢ $0 5h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 5¢ $0 5h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 5¢ $9 5h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 38¢ $1,330 7h
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Scotland 14¢ $420 7h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 55¢ $5,574 8h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score SELL No 54¢ $95 8h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score SELL No 54¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+44.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +101.0% +81.9% 50% 50% +91.3%
≤30d 19 +97.6% +78.8% 53% 53% +80.8%
≤90d 22 +71.0% +54.7% 45% 45% +43.0%
all 34 +59.5% +44.3% 53% 44% +11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +44.3% 44% +11.0%
10% ← realistic here +30.5% 41% +0.4%
15% +17.9% 41% -9.3%
20% +6.3% 32% -18.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,140.00 · official $5,140.00 (match) · 647 history records