Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:37:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B1 0xb1c2…b207 crypto 892 markets active 2h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d only
✗ bot/MM pace (110 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$21 (+1%) realized +$21 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate51%461W / 439L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day109.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$30
14 days−$50
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (110 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -7.0% -15.8% 68% 49% -18.9%
≤30d 900 -4.9% -13.9% 51% 45% -11.4%
≤90d 900 -4.9% -13.9% 51% 45% -11.4%
all 900 -4.9% -13.9% 51% 45% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover109.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 45% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 37% -19.9%
15% -29.7% 30% -27.7%
20% -36.6% 24% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses461 / 439
Open positions0
Markets (closed)900 / 892
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day109.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 900 Trades
no open positions (253 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Canadiens vs. Sabres Jun 17 $1 −$3 -259%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records