Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:26:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb1c6…2d29
sports · 885 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$489 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$389 · open −$98
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,169
Realized−$389
Unrealized−$98
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses559 / 280
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$188
Open positions46
Markets (closed)839 / 885
History coverage181d
Avg bet$167
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 46 History 839 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$84
7 days−$601
14 days−$434
30 days−$443
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 46¢ 100¢ $69 $150 +$81 (+117%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 18¢ 77¢ $25 $103 +$78 (+319%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 46¢ 62¢ $49 $66 +$17 (+34%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 78¢ 84¢ $50 $54 +$4 (+7%)
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Knicks 66¢ 68¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+2%)
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Knicks 32¢ 31¢ $49 $47 −$2 (-3%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 86¢ 72¢ $50 $42 −$8 (-17%)
Spread: Spain (-3.5) Spain 32¢ 32¢ $37 $37 −$1 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $10 $34 +$25 (+257%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Under 77¢ 100¢ $24 $31 +$7 (+30%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 70¢ 100¢ $20 $28 +$8 (+43%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 78¢ 86¢ $25 $28 +$3 (+11%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 46¢ 26¢ $46 $26 −$20 (-43%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 100¢ $14 $25 +$11 (+78%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes 75¢ 80¢ $23 $25 +$2 (+7%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 49¢ 52¢ $19 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 37¢ 74¢ $10 $19 +$10 (+100%)
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 62¢ $21 $19 −$2 (-11%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Under 52¢ 88¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+69%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 93¢ 100¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+7%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 64¢ 100¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+56%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 26¢ 26¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+45%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 37¢ 38¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 70¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+43%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $44 −$7 -17%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $24 +$3 +13%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $14 +$7 +50%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$30 +307%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $13 +$3 +24%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $34 −$22 -65%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 +$18 +124%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $24 −$13 -53%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$4 -18%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $15 +$16 +109%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $14 +$22 +152%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $28 $0 +1%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$9 +86%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$6 +56%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $30 −$3 -11%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Spread: Qatar (-2.5) Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $26 +$2 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $14 +$7 +52%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $14 +$3 +21%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $87 −$61 -70%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $28 +$6 +22%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $2 +$3 +113%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $14 +$8 +59%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $21 +$19 +92%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $38 −$5 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 74% −$180
sports 9% −$322
tech 7% +$12
crypto 6% +$2
culture 3% +$4
weather 2% +$3
world 0% +$21
politics 0% −$7
finance 0% −$20
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ $10 11m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 43¢ $8 11m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 43¢ $0 11m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 42¢ $2 11m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 19¢ $10 11m
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Knicks 66¢ $50 16m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $10 26m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 61¢ $10 36m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $10 41m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 41m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 42¢ $10 52m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $10 52m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Indiana Fever 49¢ $10 57m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 48¢ $10 57m
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) BUY Knicks 32¢ $49 58m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Indiana Fever 62¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 8¢ $9 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 51¢ $10 1h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 4¢ $9 1h
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 70¢ $10 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 59¢ $10 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 37¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 61¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $10 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 BUY Under 60¢ $10 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 52¢ $10 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 78¢ $10 1h
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) BUY Boston Red Sox 91¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 54¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 22¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 355 -2.9% -12.2% 45% 39% -14.8%
≤30d 441 -2.2% -11.5% 47% 38% -12.7%
≤90d 566 -0.9% -10.3% 58% 31% -10.8%
all 839 -0.5% -9.9% 67% 21% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 21% -9.8%
10% -18.6% 18% -18.4%
15% -26.4% 14% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 11% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,168.61 · official $1,168.61 (match) · 2643 history records