trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +4.8% | -5.2% | 50% | 0% | -5.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +2.7% | -7.0% | 50% | 0% | -7.1% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 43% | 0% | -7.7% |
| all | 14 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 43% | 0% | -7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.1% | 0% | -7.7% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 0% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 0% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 0% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | $261 | $265 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | Jun 12 | $456 | +$44 | +10% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | Jun 11 | $483 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Cambodia (-2.5) | Jun 10 | $485 | +$20 | +4% |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | Jun 09 | $456 | −$2 | -0% |
| Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5 | Jun 08 | $485 | +$25 | +5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Jun 07 | $486 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Greece (-2.5) | Jun 06 | $479 | +$17 | +4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31? | Jun 04 | $478 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Croatia (-2.5) | Jun 03 | $486 | +$27 | +6% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | Jun 02 | $482 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5) | Apr 24 | $427 | +$8 | +2% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | Apr 22 | $428 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5) | Apr 08 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | Apr 08 | $17 | $0 | +0% |