trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 9% | 9% | -9.7% |
| all | 23 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 13% | 4% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.6% | 4% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $209 | $209 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $199 | $198 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $2 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $2 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $198 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $348 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $199 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | -18% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $219 | $0 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $673 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Feb 09 | $15 | −$12 | -80% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | Jan 21 | $484 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 19 | $485 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 16 | $485 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 15 | $486 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 14 | $486 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 13 | $487 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? | Jan 12 | $487 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 09 | $488 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jan 09 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Interstellar object confirmed aliens? | Dec 22 | $19 | $0 | +2% |