Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb23d…86d2
crypto · 1222 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$1,222 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,208 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,279
Realized+$1,208
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1210 / 10
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1220 / 1222
History coverage127d
Avg bet$357
Trades / day15.2
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 2 History 1220 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$65
14 days+$509
30 days+$710
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $7,247 $7,252 +$5 (+0%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of June 8 2026? No 99¢ 90¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-9%)
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 91¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $122 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $120 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $51 $0 +0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $41 $0 +0%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $142 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $95 $0 +0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $45 $0 +0%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $73 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $74 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $44 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 8 202 Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $610 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $96 $0 +0%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $324 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $284 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $54 $0 +0%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $301 $0 +0%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $51 $0 +0%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $51 $0 +0%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $80 +$1 +1%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $167.50 Week of June 8 20 Jun 12 $74 +$1 +1%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of June 8 20 Jun 12 $51 $0 +0%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of June 8 20 Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $169 $0 +0%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $173 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2 Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of June 8 Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.75 Week of June 8 Jun 12 $201 $0 +0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of June 8 Jun 12 $104 $0 +0%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $412 $0 +0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of June 8 Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of June 8 Jun 12 $75 $0 +0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of June 8 Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of June 8 Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of June 8 Jun 12 $103 $0 +0%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of June 8 Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 12? Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $65,029 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 26% +$240
other 24% +$218
crypto 23% +$306
politics 18% $0
tech 7% +$437
sports 1% +$10
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $6,602 1h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $646 1h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $18 1h
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of June 8 BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of June 8 BUY No 100¢ $104 1h
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2 BUY No 99¢ $8 1h
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $38 1h
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $44 1h
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 8 202 BUY No 100¢ $38 1h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $45 1h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $41 1h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $142 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $95 1h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $122 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $120 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $51 1h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 1h
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $324 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $38 1h
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $284 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $38 1h
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $54 1h
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $301 1h
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $74 1h
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $73 1h
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $610 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $96 1h
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 +0.2% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 494 +0.4% -9.2% 99% 1% -9.3%
≤90d 1186 +0.3% -9.2% 99% 1% -9.3%
all 1220 +0.3% -9.2% 99% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 1% -9.3%
10% -17.9% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,278.90 · official $7,278.90 (match) · 3204 history records