Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:12:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb257…4f47
crypto · 84 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$111 +35%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$105 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$105
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses23 / 60
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)83 / 84
History coverage21d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day7.5
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$39
14 days+$112
30 days+$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 31? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 10? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 8? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Pedro Martinez 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs G2 NORD 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 8? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 +$42 +1032%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $5 −$2 -49%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $1 +$2 +146%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -41%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $2 $0 -12%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $1 +$11 +1108%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $1 $0 -22%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 10? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 09 $7 −$2 -27%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 09 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$3 +141%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $8 −$8 -97%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $2 +$32 +1554%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $0 $0 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on June 9? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 10? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 9? Jun 08 $2 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 8? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 8? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on June 2 Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 2? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 1? May 31 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 1? May 31 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 1? May 31 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 31? May 31 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 31? May 31 $2 +$82 +5181%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 31? May 30 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 31? May 30 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 31? May 30 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 30 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% +$38
sports 22% +$22
weather 9% +$56
other 3% −$2
politics 2% −$7
world 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 13¢ $2 37m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 79¢ $11 55m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 21¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 42¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 45¢ $5 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY G2 NORD 4¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 6¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 11¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 11¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 23¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 21¢ $3 14h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le SELL Paris Gentle Mates 41¢ $1 25h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 43¢ $1 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 90¢ $45 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $2 29h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 3¢ $2 29h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $2 29h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini SELL Andrea Collarini 26¢ $3 2d
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 49¢ $5 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2d
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla SELL Oriol Roca Batalla 40¢ $1 2d
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 39¢ $1 2d
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova SELL Hernan Casanova 13¢ $3 2d
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova BUY Hernan Casanova 5¢ $1 2d
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw BUY Pedro Martinez 22¢ $1 2d
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 6¢ $1 2d
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 44¢ $1 2d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +41.7% +28.2% 14% 14% +41.7%
≤30d 83 +29.1% +16.8% 28% 25% +11.5%
≤90d 83 +29.1% +16.8% 28% 25% +11.5%
all 83 +29.1% +16.8% 28% 25% +11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +16.8% 25% +11.5%
10% +5.6% 24% +0.9%
15% -4.6% 19% -8.9%
20% -13.9% 14% -17.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.11 (match) · 162 history records