Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb27b…5b82
crypto · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$40,423 +298%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$40,490 · open −$67
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$728
Realized+$40,490
Unrealized−$67
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses208 / 78
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)286 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$424
Trades / day3472.0
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 286 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40,490
7 days+$40,490
14 days+$40,490
30 days+$40,490
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 78¢ 98¢ $231 $293 +$61 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 62¢ 56¢ $192 $171 −$21 (-11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 63¢ 52¢ $133 $109 −$25 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 44¢ $81 $72 −$9 (-11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 57¢ 48¢ $63 $53 −$10 (-16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 54¢ 50¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 52¢ 50¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 18¢ 2¢ $53 $4 −$48 (-92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $179 $0 −$179 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$459 +2468472%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$133 +162419%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$69 +228957%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$225 +730782%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$21 +7538%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$137 +69771%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $179 −$359 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +5593%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$78 +177063%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$61 -45766%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1,917 +21063897%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$186 -22646%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$93 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$573 +1393853%
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +7102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$136 -98185%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$138 +204545%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$26 -34512%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$345 +2412854%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$435 +139795%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$277 +232159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$139 +112199%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$14 +11873%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $539 −$1,078 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$185 +2208130%
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$65 +156498%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$96 +1776791%
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$133 +49021%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$109 +442877%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$195 +5121076%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$119 +456604%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$218 +563158%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$323 +425647%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$111 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$39 +18553%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$676 +6503322%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$80 +130687%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$31 +78137%
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$78 +550586%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$289 +1428556%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$181 +697209%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$12 +32636%
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$222 +173410%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$529 -210808%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$192 +889167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$270 +1508656%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$670
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $0 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)+1150.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 286 +1281.7% +1150.1% 73% 69% -12.8%
≤30d 286 +1281.7% +1150.1% 73% 69% -12.8%
≤90d 286 +1281.7% +1150.1% 73% 69% -12.8%
all 286 +1281.7% +1150.1% 73% 69% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3472.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1150.1% 69% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here +1030.5% 67% -21.1%
15% +921.3% 67% -28.7%
20% +821.1% 67% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $727.73 · official $682.65 · 3500 history records