trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +97.0% | +78.3% | 100% | 100% | +78.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +20.5% | +9.0% | 60% | 40% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +10.0% | -0.5% | 57% | 43% | -11.4% |
| all | 9 | +10.8% | +0.3% | 67% | 56% | -4.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.3% | 56% | -4.1% |
| 10% | -9.3% | 33% | -13.3% |
| 15% | -18.1% | 22% | -21.7% |
| 20% | -26.1% | 22% | -29.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 23¢ | $500 | $580 | +$80 (+16%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 21¢ | $500 | $499 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 6¢ | $50 | $30 | −$20 (-40%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | Jun 25 | $10 | +$9 | +97% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1,040 | +$286 | +28% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1,573 | −$353 | -22% |
| Will Julian Champagnie score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Fi | Jun 14 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Spurs lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-1 through 4 games? | Jun 06 | $104 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 27 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5 | May 27 | $101 | +$69 | +68% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Sep 19 | $1,601 | +$229 | +14% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 05 | $1,417 | +$184 | +13% |