Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:07:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb286…ab8f
sports · 37 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$15 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses17 / 19
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 37
History coverage5d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Knicks 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Team Falcons 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $1 +$3 +276%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +24%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$2 -99%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$5 +262%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$3 +83%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 +$2 +105%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2 +$2 +105%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2 +$1 +48%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $1 $0 -6%
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) Jun 09 $2 −$1 -28%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 09 $1 +$1 +65%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 09 $1 +$1 +97%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$16
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 92¢ $2 10h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 26¢ $1 13h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Galions 79¢ $2 16h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 61¢ $2 16h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 80¢ $2 16h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner BUY Solary 91¢ $2 16h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner BUY Solary 85¢ $2 16h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 84¢ $2 16h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 73¢ $2 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 23¢ $2 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $2 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 59¢ $2 22h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 35¢ $2 23h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 87¢ $2 24h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 36¢ $2 25h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 54¢ $3 40h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 74¢ $3 40h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 58¢ $2 40h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 18¢ $1 44h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 67¢ $5 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ $5 46h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 14¢ $5 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $5 47h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca SELL Justin Gaethje 19¢ $1 2d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 69¢ $1 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 27¢ $2 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 70¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -5.7% -14.7% 47% 44% -24.5%
≤30d 36 -5.7% -14.7% 47% 44% -24.5%
≤90d 36 -5.7% -14.7% 47% 44% -24.5%
all 36 -5.7% -14.7% 47% 44% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 44% -24.5%
10% -22.9% 39% -31.7%
15% -30.3% 33% -38.3%
20% -37.1% 25% -44.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 63 history records