Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:18:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb286…c9aa
crypto · 51 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,775 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,775 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$114
Realized−$2,775
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses27 / 28
Whale WR (big bets)30%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)55 / 51
History coverage1d
Avg bet$385
Trades / day3450.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,775
7 days−$2,775
14 days−$2,775
30 days−$2,775
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 66¢ 76¢ $72 $83 +$11 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 24¢ 24¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+2%)
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Vanderbilt Commodores 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 79¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 67¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 66¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Jun 12 $1 −$3,426 -485383%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $255 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $196 +$48 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $110 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $189 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $275 −$38 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $257 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$22 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $267 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $239 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $291 −$29 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $353 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $209 +$32 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $608 −$47 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $288 −$83 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $531 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $251 +$58 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $310 +$158 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $329 +$87 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $439 +$84 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $464 −$43 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $400 +$38 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $245 −$30 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $460 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $475 −$89 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $409 +$49 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $595 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $509 −$54 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $401 −$30 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$49 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $878 −$49 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $458 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $352 −$39 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $708 −$11 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $401 −$6 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $445 −$45 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $381 +$39 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $369 +$51 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $450 +$86 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $466 +$65 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $928 −$169 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $305 −$14 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $472 +$22 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $520 −$29 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $533 +$48 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$653
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 +34.0% +21.3% 49% 29% -8.1%
≤30d 55 +34.0% +21.3% 49% 29% -8.1%
≤90d 55 +34.0% +21.3% 49% 29% -8.1%
all 55 +34.0% +21.3% 49% 29% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3450.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +21.3% 29% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here +9.7% 13% -16.9%
15% -0.9% 7% -24.9%
20% -10.6% 5% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $113.74 · official $112.34 · 3500 history records