Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:38:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B2 0xb291…6d2e crypto 1697 markets active 0h ago coverage 68d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$41 (+0%) realized −$23 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate95%1610W / 87L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day26.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$29
14 days−$27
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$18
weather 0% −$4
other 0% −$2
sports 0% $0
politics 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -4.0% -13.1% 92% 6% -12.1%
≤30d 546 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 3% -10.2%
≤90d 1697 -0.0% -9.5% 95% 7% -9.7%
all 1697 -0.0% -9.5% 95% 7% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 7% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 1% -18.3%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$6 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

68d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1610 / 87
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1697 / 1697
History coverage68d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day26.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1697 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10? Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records