Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:07:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2a5…5aa6
crypto · 833 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$265 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$249 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$249
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses365 / 468
Open positions0
Markets (closed)833 / 833
History coverage22d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day153.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 833 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$38
14 days−$98
30 days−$248
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$249
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $6 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 217 -0.9% -10.4% 44% 24% -11.5%
≤30d 833 -0.8% -10.2% 44% 23% -12.0%
≤90d 833 -0.8% -10.2% 44% 23% -12.0%
all 833 -0.8% -10.2% 44% 23% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 23% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 12% -20.5%
15% -26.7% 5% -28.1%
20% -33.8% 2% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records