Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2b5…e8bf
crypto · 735 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$3,085 -42%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,085 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,085
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses377 / 500
Open positions0
Markets (closed)877 / 735
History coverage21d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day149.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 877 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,677
7 days−$3,283
14 days−$3,198
30 days−$3,085
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 50¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 53¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 52¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 51¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 51¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 52¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 52¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 52¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 50¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 50¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 52¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 52¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 50¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 52¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 51¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 52¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 52¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 52¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 50¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 51¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 52¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 52¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 53¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 52¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$672
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 547 -33.4% -39.7% 35% 35% -52.0%
≤30d 877 -18.6% -26.4% 43% 43% -36.9%
≤90d 877 -18.6% -26.4% 43% 43% -36.9%
all 877 -18.6% -26.4% 43% 43% -36.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover149.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.4% 43% -36.9%
10% ← realistic here -33.4% 43% -42.9%
15% -39.8% 43% -48.4%
20% -45.7% 42% -53.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records