trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.0% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 30% | 0% | -13.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 31% | 0% | -13.0% |
| all | 25 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 52% | 4% | -14.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.6% | 4% | -14.0% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 0% | -22.2% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 0% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 0% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | $27 | $27 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $18 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jun 18 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 27 | $73 | +$1 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $15 | $0 | -3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $48 | −$18 | -36% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 23 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 22 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 21 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 19 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 18 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 17 | $2 | $0 | +13% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 21? | Mar 23 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 21-28? | Mar 22 | $2 | $0 | -24% |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting? | Mar 21 | $16 | $0 | +3% |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | Mar 16 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14? | Mar 15 | $14 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in February? | Mar 13 | $12 | +$1 | +5% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 12 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08? | Mar 11 | $14 | $0 | +3% |