Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2bf…04d7
sports · 117 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$877 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$607 · open +$291
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10,738
Realized+$607
Unrealized+$291
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses57 / 51
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$632
Open positions9
Markets (closed)108 / 117
History coverage12d
Avg bet$441
Trades / day48.7
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 9 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,903
7 days−$3,039
14 days+$607
30 days+$607
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No 91¢ 96¢ $5,998 $6,295 +$297 (+5%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $2,037 $2,016 −$22 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $1,343 $1,356 +$13 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 20¢ 20¢ $846 $825 −$21 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $100 $94 −$6 (-6%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Yes 48¢ 72¢ $47 $71 +$24 (+51%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 84¢ $64 $64 +$0 (+0%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+5%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 53¢ 55¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 44¢ 44¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card) Santiago Luna 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 48¢ 0¢ $330 $0 −$330 (-100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $176 $0 −$176 (-100%)
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 40¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $681 $0 −$681 (-100%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) PortlandFire 46¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 23¢ 0¢ $3,447 $0 −$3,447 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 18¢ 0¢ $1,354 $0 −$1,354 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? No 31¢ 0¢ $1,903 $0 −$1,903 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) John Yannis 20¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Seattle Mariners 54¢ 0¢ $1,834 $0 −$1,834 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,929 −$1,903 -99%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 08 $239 −$106 -44%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $128 +$86 +67%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $118 +$292 +248%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 06 $337 +$452 +134%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $43 −$1 -2%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 Jun 06 $68 +$68 +101%
O/U 1.5 Rounds Jun 06 $35 −$34 -98%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5 Jun 06 $126 −$124 -99%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $90 −$89 -99%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $26 −$26 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $1,356 −$1,354 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $576 −$570 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweig Jun 06 $28 −$27 -98%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $175 +$204 +116%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $771 +$778 +101%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 06 $310 +$256 +83%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1,723 −$797 -46%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $167 +$165 +99%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Jun 06 $222 +$289 +130%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 06 $675 +$617 +91%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Jun 06 $264 +$313 +119%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 06 $259 +$317 +122%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 06 $32 +$50 +156%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $159 +$161 +101%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 Jun 06 $602 +$659 +110%
Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5) Jun 06 $131 +$117 +90%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky Jun 05 $240 −$236 -98%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 05 $28 −$27 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 05 $1,860 −$1,834 -99%
O/U 1.5 Rounds Jun 05 $12 −$12 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5 Jun 05 $39 +$50 +129%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 Jun 05 $335 −$330 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 05 $38 −$38 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 Jun 05 $94 −$93 -98%
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5) Jun 05 $308 −$308 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $3,527 −$3,447 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 05 $146 −$142 -98%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5) Jun 05 $30 +$28 +93%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 05 $131 +$208 +158%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $2,376 +$5,381 +226%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $470 −$464 -99%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 04 $231 +$199 +86%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 Jun 04 $2,137 +$2,033 +95%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $102 −$100 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q Winner Jun 04 $76 −$20 -26%
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-7.5) Jun 04 $3 +$3 +93%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 04 $38 +$54 +140%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 04 $41 +$59 +144%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$2,617
other 15% −$2,040
finance 12% +$297
world 0% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $86 4m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $93 5m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $113 6m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $91 6m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $219 7m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $54 7m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 18¢ $62 34m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 18¢ $2 37m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 18¢ $1 41m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 18¢ $2 47m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 18¢ $8 50m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 18¢ $32 50m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 18¢ $32 51m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 18¢ $32 51m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 20¢ $1,065 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 53¢ $5 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 47¢ $620 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $28 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $12 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $24 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $51 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $28 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $63 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $44 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $20 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $10 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $19 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $8 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $21 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $155 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +5.5% -4.5% 46% 46% -29.9%
≤30d 108 +20.3% +8.9% 53% 53% -8.0%
≤90d 108 +20.3% +8.9% 53% 53% -8.0%
all 108 +20.3% +8.9% 53% 53% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.9% 53% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -1.6% 53% -16.8%
15% -11.1% 52% -24.8%
20% -19.8% 51% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,737.78 · official $10,737.74 (match) · 657 history records