Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2c1…4cf3
other · 4 markets active 11h ago
9.5score
+$28,641 +98%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$28,641 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$28,641
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage28d
Avg bet$7,287
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28,004
7 days+$28,004
14 days+$28,004
30 days+$28,641
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14,939 +$23,616 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10,590 +$4,388 +41%
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? May 23 $1,114 +$493 +44%
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? May 18 $2,506 +$143 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 88% +$28,004
politics 12% +$637
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $38,554 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $14,939 17h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $14,979 17h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10,590 24h
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? BUY No 68¢ $1,114 28d
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? BUY No 95¢ $2,004 28d
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? BUY No 91¢ $502 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+46.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +99.8% +80.7% 100% 100% +89.7%
≤30d 4 +62.4% +46.9% 100% 75% +79.4%
≤90d 4 +62.4% +46.9% 100% 75% +79.4%
all 4 +62.4% +46.9% 100% 75% +79.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +46.9% 75% +79.4%
10% ← realistic here +32.9% 75% +62.2%
15% +20.0% 75% +46.5%
20% +8.3% 25% +32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records