trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +75.0% | +58.4% | 100% | 100% | +60.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 71% | 57% | -3.3% |
| all | 16 | -22.1% | -29.5% | 62% | 25% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.5% | 25% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -36.2% | 25% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -42.4% | 19% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -48.0% | 19% | -32.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $203 | $201 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $156 | +$129 | +83% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $82 | +$55 | +67% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 21 | $114 | −$112 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 15 | $97 | −$96 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $18 | +$12 | +65% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 07 | $202 | +$58 | +29% |
| Will March 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | Apr 18 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | Mar 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 03 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Feb 24 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? | Feb 24 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 02 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$45 in January? | Feb 02 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Palantir reach $258 in January? | Jan 31 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Jan 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition | Jan 08 | $12 | $0 | +0% |