trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -30.2% | -36.8% | 33% | 33% | -15.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -20.9% | -28.5% | 20% | 20% | -15.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -36.2% | -42.3% | 25% | 25% | -32.3% |
| all | 15 | -39.6% | -45.3% | 27% | 27% | -30.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.3% | 27% | -30.3% |
| 10% | -50.6% | 20% | -37.0% |
| 15% | -55.3% | 20% | -43.1% |
| 20% | -59.7% | 20% | -48.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 45¢ | 42¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$2 | -30% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +109% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10? | Mar 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | Mar 23 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-03-21? | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07? | Feb 08 | $2 | +$1 | +70% |
| Jazz vs. Pacers | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25? | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17? | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Nets | Feb 08 | $1 | $0 | -32% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01? | Feb 02 | $2 | +$1 | +59% |