trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +9.8% | -0.7% | 75% | 75% | +0.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +9.8% | -0.7% | 75% | 75% | +0.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +9.8% | -0.7% | 75% | 75% | +0.5% |
| all | 4 | +9.8% | -0.7% | 75% | 75% | +0.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.7% | 75% | +0.5% |
| 10% | -10.2% | 50% | -9.1% |
| 15% | -18.8% | 50% | -17.9% |
| 20% | -26.8% | 0% | -26.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 12¢ | $58 | $31 | −$26 (-45%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? | Jun 17 | $110 | −$71 | -64% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | +$1 | +40% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $223 | +$45 | +20% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $190 | +$83 | +44% |