Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:01:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2cf…9a91
sports · 869 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$668 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$666 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$666
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses385 / 477
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions7
Markets (closed)862 / 869
History coverage95d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 7 History 862 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 99¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+110%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 29¢ 30¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 36¢ 36¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner F5 Esports 53¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-12%)
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs GG Boom 53¢ 51¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Over 15¢ 14¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Under 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner TYLOO 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Spurs 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Over 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Team Falcons 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 −$3 -59%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$1 -34%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +73%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$6 +315%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $1 −$1 -73%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$4 +40%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 -17%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 -7%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$2 +91%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -90%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +126%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $24 $0 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$8 +303%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +82%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 −$1 -49%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $14 −$10 -68%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 +$6 +97%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -92%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $8 −$3 -38%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5 Jun 11 $19 −$18 -94%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $12 +$6 +49%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $7 +$5 +68%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 05 $8 −$6 -84%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $7 −$7 -99%
Will Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 +$2 +40%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 04 $5 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $1 −$1 -89%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) May 31 $6 −$5 -87%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $5 −$3 -66%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 22? May 06 $60 −$60 -100%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5) Apr 22 $36 +$24 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% −$76
crypto 40% −$641
weather 11% −$17
other 6% +$67
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 BUY Over 15¢ $2 10m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 53¢ $1 12m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 53¢ $2 13m
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope BUY GG Boom 53¢ $2 14m
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL Paraguay 18¢ $2 34m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 21¢ $1 52m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner SELL F5 Esports 32¢ $2 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 56¢ $1 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 55¢ $3 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 17¢ $2 1h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 36¢ $1 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 36¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner BUY F5 Esports 47¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 29¢ $2 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 35¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 29¢ $2 4h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 22¢ $1 4h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $6 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $7 5h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 56¢ $2 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $1 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $1 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $2 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +16.3% +5.2% 49% 44% -9.7%
≤30d 48 +0.6% -9.0% 42% 38% -20.1%
≤90d 848 -6.7% -15.6% 44% 39% -15.7%
all 862 -6.1% -15.1% 45% 39% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 39% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 34% -23.5%
15% -30.6% 31% -30.9%
20% -37.4% 26% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.68 · official $18.68 (match) · 2283 history records