Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:58:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2d6…90aa
crypto · 546 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$969 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,303 · open −$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$123
Realized−$1,303
Unrealized−$45
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses132 / 596
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions5
Markets (closed)728 / 546
History coverage36d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day93.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 728 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,348
7 days−$2,172
14 days−$2,194
30 days−$877
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 46¢ $46 $46 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score No 34¢ 30¢ $44 $40 −$5 (-10%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $57 $22 −$34 (-61%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Yes 10¢ 9¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-10%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 22¢ 13¢ $11 $6 −$4 (-41%)
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Under 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$861
sports 9% +$583
other 2% +$71
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 34¢ $45 2m
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) SELL Türkiye 5¢ $5 4m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 14m
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 22¢ $6 17m
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 22¢ $5 17m
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 22¢ $0 17m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $47 1h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 32¢ $33 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $58 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 74¢ $37 3h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) SELL Scotland 39¢ $19 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score SELL No 50¢ $25 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 SELL Under 49¢ $24 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 54¢ $27 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 20¢ $18 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $26 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 8¢ $8 3h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $19 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $31 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $33 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Under 39¢ $20 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $24 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $22 4h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $50 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $80 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Over 58¢ $47 7h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $35 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 44¢ $9 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 33¢ $0 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 33¢ $8 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-42.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 360 -73.8% -76.3% 9% 7% -60.1%
≤30d 637 -34.3% -40.6% 19% 17% -16.4%
≤90d 728 -36.9% -42.9% 18% 16% -18.8%
all 728 -36.9% -42.9% 18% 16% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.9% 16% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -48.4% 15% -26.5%
15% -53.4% 14% -33.6%
20% -58.0% 13% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $123.15 · official $123.15 (match) · 3500 history records