Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:45:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2db…3144
crypto · 76 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$8 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses44 / 31
Open positions1
Markets (closed)75 / 76
History coverage23d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$3
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 64¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 36¢ 44¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 29 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 29 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 29 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 29 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 28 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 28 $2 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 28 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 28 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 28 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 28 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 28 $5 +$4 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 28 $3 +$3 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 28 $4 +$4 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 28 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 28 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 28 $2 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 28 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 28 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 28 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -21.1% -28.6% 40% 40% -22.8%
≤30d 75 +2.5% -7.2% 59% 53% -13.5%
≤90d 75 +2.5% -7.2% 59% 53% -13.5%
all 75 +2.5% -7.2% 59% 53% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 53% -13.5%
10% -16.1% 44% -21.7%
15% -24.2% 37% -29.3%
20% -31.6% 35% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.94 · official $3.95 (match) · 168 history records