Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:58:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2e7…b98d
crypto · 125 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$254 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$254 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$254
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses36 / 89
Open positions0
Markets (closed)125 / 125
History coverage28d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$8
14 days−$192
30 days−$254
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$6 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 03 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 03 $30 −$15 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 03 $51 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 03 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 03 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 03 $21 −$11 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 03 $37 −$13 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 03 $16 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3? Jun 02 $4 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 02 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 02 $16 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 02 $14 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 02 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 01 $25 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 01 $27 −$18 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 01 $100 −$29 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 01 $47 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 01 $45 +$22 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 01 $23 −$22 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 01 $36 +$10 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 01 $31 −$15 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 01 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 01 $35 −$13 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$254
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $8 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-34.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -21.4% -28.9% 38% 38% -12.5%
≤30d 125 -27.7% -34.6% 29% 26% -24.2%
≤90d 125 -27.7% -34.6% 29% 26% -24.2%
all 125 -27.7% -34.6% 29% 26% -24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.6% 26% -24.2%
10% -40.8% 21% -31.4%
15% -46.6% 17% -38.1%
20% -51.8% 9% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 627 history records