Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:38:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B2 0xb2e7…19dc crypto 1790 markets active 10h ago coverage 72d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 72d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$50 (+1%) realized +$50 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR65%break-even
Win rate73%1300W / 490L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day27.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$19
14 days+$18
30 days−$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$72
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +8.8% -1.6% 80% 80% -0.9%
≤30d 204 -5.5% -14.5% 68% 66% -14.7%
≤90d 1790 -0.1% -9.7% 73% 65% -10.5%
all 1790 -0.1% -9.7% 73% 65% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 65% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 49% -19.0%
15% -26.2% 30% -26.9%
20% -33.4% 15% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

72d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1300 / 490
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1790 / 1790
History coverage72d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day27.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1790 Trades
no open positions (318 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records