Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:03:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B2 0xb2ed…5dcc crypto 1290 markets active 3d ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (97 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$138 (-5%) realized −$138 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate35%452W / 838L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day97.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$40
14 days−$40
30 days−$135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (97 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -13.9% -22.1% 32% 22% -20.3%
≤30d 1290 -12.9% -21.2% 35% 32% -13.9%
≤90d 1290 -12.9% -21.2% 35% 32% -13.9%
all 1290 -12.9% -21.2% 35% 32% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 32% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 29% -22.1%
15% -35.6% 28% -29.6%
20% -41.9% 26% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.68 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$138
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses452 / 838
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1290 / 1290
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day97.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1290 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records