Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:15:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb305…ca4e
crypto · 211 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$43,232 -62%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42,899 · open −$333
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,446
Realized−$42,899
Unrealized−$333
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses122 / 536
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$56
Open positions6
Markets (closed)658 / 211
History coverage5d
Avg bet$330
Trades / day683.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 658 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47,066
7 days−$42,899
14 days−$42,899
30 days−$42,899
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 53¢ 48¢ $1,591 $1,455 −$136 (-9%)
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 35¢ 27¢ $937 $728 −$209 (-22%)
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No 46¢ 50¢ $188 $202 +$15 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 19¢ 18¢ $57 $54 −$3 (-5%)
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No 98¢ 99¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 25¢ 25¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $261 $0 −$261 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $221 $0 −$221 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$296 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $261 −$261 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $221 −$221 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $231 −$231 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $326 −$326 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $134 −$134 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $265 −$265 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $190 −$190 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $502 −$502 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $487 −$487 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $449 −$449 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $319 −$319 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $131 −$131 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$5,318
sports 8% +$178
other 1% −$330
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-69.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 658 -65.8% -69.1% 19% 13% -42.8%
≤30d 658 -65.8% -69.1% 19% 13% -42.8%
≤90d 658 -65.8% -69.1% 19% 13% -42.8%
all 658 -65.8% -69.1% 19% 13% -42.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover683.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -69.1% 13% -42.8%
10% ← realistic here -72.1% 10% -48.3%
15% -74.8% 7% -53.3%
20% -77.2% 5% -57.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,445.58 · official $2,518.94 · 3500 history records