trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 7% | 7% | -15.3% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -6.7% | -15.5% | 4% | 4% | -18.8% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -6.7% | -15.5% | 4% | 4% | -18.8% |
| all | 23 | -6.7% | -15.5% | 4% | 4% | -18.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.5% | 4% | -18.8% |
| 10% | -23.6% | 4% | -26.6% |
| 15% | -31.0% | 4% | -33.6% |
| 20% | -37.8% | 4% | -40.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Jun 26 | $37 | −$5 | -14% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 202 | Jun 26 | $37 | −$8 | -22% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 26 | $37 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Repre | Jun 25 | $37 | −$7 | -20% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $84 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | Jun 22 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 22 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | Jun 21 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | Jun 21 | $37 | −$3 | -8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 21 | $75 | −$6 | -8% |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Jun 20 | $46 | −$5 | -10% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $22 | +$15 | +65% |
| Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Jun 19 | $58 | −$19 | -32% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 19 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 19 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 19 | $88 | −$63 | -71% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Jun 19 | $65 | −$4 | -7% |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World | Jun 18 | $138 | −$16 | -11% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 18 | $138 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | Jun 18 | $90 | −$5 | -6% |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | Jun 18 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title | Jun 18 | $25 | −$1 | -4% |