Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:13:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb313…1ce7
crypto · 1405 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,468 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$160 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$160
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses726 / 642
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1368 / 1405
History coverage31d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day65.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 1368 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days+$123
14 days+$205
30 days−$210
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $4 $2 −$3 (-63%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$14
other 5% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 328 +6.0% -4.1% 66% 66% -2.2%
≤30d 1179 -3.1% -12.3% 54% 53% -13.1%
≤90d 1368 -2.6% -11.8% 53% 52% -11.8%
all 1368 -2.6% -11.8% 53% 52% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 52% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 52% -20.3%
15% -28.0% 51% -28.0%
20% -35.0% 43% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.60 · official $1.60 (match) · 3500 history records