Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:41:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B3 0xb314…c009 crypto 613 markets active 4d ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (130 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$99 (-3%) realized −$99 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate47%290W / 323L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day129.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$154
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (130 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 296 -16.5% -24.5% 43% 43% -23.5%
≤30d 613 -6.6% -15.5% 47% 47% -14.0%
≤90d 613 -6.6% -15.5% 47% 47% -14.0%
all 613 -6.6% -15.5% 47% 47% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover129.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 47% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 47% -22.2%
15% -30.9% 47% -29.8%
20% -37.7% 47% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -18% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×1.01 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$99
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses290 / 323
Open positions0
Markets (closed)613 / 613
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day129.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 613 Trades
no open positions (303 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 925 history records