Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:38:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb31b…b140
other · 635 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,664 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,938 · open −$212
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$209
Realized−$2,938
Unrealized−$212
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses93 / 466
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$74
Open positions8
Markets (closed)559 / 635
History coverage18d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day167.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 8 History 559 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$882
7 days−$1,714
14 days−$2,534
30 days−$2,938
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m? No 85¢ 66¢ $95 $73 −$22 (-23%)
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 87¢ 46¢ $104 $56 −$49 (-47%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 12¢ $150 $32 −$118 (-78%)
Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 85¢ 53¢ $48 $30 −$18 (-38%)
Will Florian Wirtz score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 34¢ 33¢ $17 $16 −$0 (-3%)
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No 84¢ 84¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? No 95¢ 97¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
NBA Finals: Timothee Chalamet to attend all Knicks Home Games? No 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-98%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group S Jun 14 $24 −$2 -10%
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026? Jun 14 $3 −$1 -23%
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $75 $0 -0%
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta Jun 14 $147 −$35 -24%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 14 $222 −$2 -1%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 14 $84 −$2 -2%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 14 $968 −$13 -1%
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? Jun 14 $59 −$2 -4%
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 14 $199 −$30 -15%
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Jun 14 $16 −$2 -10%
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest Jun 14 $1,430 −$77 -5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +64%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Jun 14 $2 −$2 -74%
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30? Jun 14 $215 −$13 -6%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $335 −$3 -1%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $639 −$3 -0%
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 14 $172 −$2 -1%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-1 Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06- Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$2 +76%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Jun 14 $2 −$2 -87%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? AN Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Wi Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND W Jun 14 $9 +$1 +16%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06- Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Jun 14 $1,551 −$34 -2%
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $143 −$2 -1%
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta Jun 14 $48 −$4 -9%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Jun 14 $502 −$4 -1%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? Jun 14 $2 $0 -0%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Jun 14 $284 −$7 -2%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $7 $0 -2%
Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 14 $173 −$3 -2%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 14 $260 −$4 -2%
Will Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 14 $117 −$16 -14%
Will JD Vance attend the G7 Summit? Jun 14 $117 −$1 -1%
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Jun 14 $25 −$3 -14%
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group St Jun 13 $59 −$7 -11%
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 13 $75 −$4 -5%
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game? Jun 13 $94 −$4 -4%
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? Jun 13 $102 −$2 -2%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? AND Jun 13 $2 −$2 -86%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AN Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AN Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-1 Jun 13 $6 −$3 -55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 36% −$1,912
politics 18% −$419
world 15% −$245
finance 10% −$170
sports 10% −$127
tech 6% −$187
crypto 4% −$53
economics 1% −$12
culture 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group S SELL Yes 13¢ $22 3m
Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group S BUY Yes 14¢ $24 3m
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026? SELL No 2¢ $2 13m
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026? BUY No 2¢ $3 13m
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m? SELL No 65¢ $38 20m
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND BUY 29¢ $1 29m
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND BUY 71¢ $2 29m
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 35m
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $75 35m
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $75 35m
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta SELL Yes 19¢ $18 47m
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta SELL Yes 21¢ $15 47m
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 32¢ $3 49m
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 32¢ $36 49m
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 32¢ $16 49m
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $25 1h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 83¢ $116 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on SELL Yes 12¢ $2 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on SELL Yes 12¢ $17 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY Yes 12¢ $20 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 63¢ $7 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 63¢ $19 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 63¢ $48 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 64¢ $3 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 67¢ $31 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 71¢ $121 1h
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $4 1h
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? BUY No 93¢ $50 1h
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? SELL Yes 29¢ $5 1h
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? SELL Yes 30¢ $24 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 330 -4.1% -13.2% 27% 13% -14.1%
≤30d 559 -3.5% -12.7% 17% 8% -14.4%
≤90d 559 -3.5% -12.7% 17% 8% -14.4%
all 559 -3.5% -12.7% 17% 8% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover167.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 8% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 5% -22.6%
15% -28.7% 3% -30.0%
20% -35.7% 2% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $208.63 · official $270.02 · 3500 history records