Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:02:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb31b…d703
sports · 831 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10,030 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,013 · open −$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10,013
Unrealized−$31
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses472 / 409
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$840
Open positions1
Markets (closed)881 / 831
History coverage112d
Avg bet$251
Trades / day29.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 881 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,523
7 days−$2,523
14 days−$2,523
30 days−$3,074
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner Ursa 40¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs magic 8¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner Fisher College 42¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Thunder Thunder 47¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Nuggets Nuggets 52¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 33¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs Tricked 36¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 2 Winner Walczaki 17¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 62¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In UNiTY esports 39¢ 0¢ $251 $0 −$251 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 58¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner Lavked 34¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 82¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Jazz vs. Pacers Pacers 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Rockets vs. Thunder Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$28 +55%
Jazz vs. Pacers Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ekaterine G Jun 12 $10 −$20 -200%
Open Sud de France: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 12 $129 −$96 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$56 -1636%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$46 -1417%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra Eala Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$15 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$47 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$32 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$20 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, M Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ostrava Open: Diane Parry vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$13 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers Jun 12 $32 −$55 -173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Ma Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Open Sud de France: Moise Kouame vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +891%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $143 −$143 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$47 -172580%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$195 -397%
Bucks vs. Magic Jun 12 $32 −$26 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$5,524
crypto 20% −$1,868
other 0% −$388
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $52 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $108 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $237 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $52 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $52 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $52 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $200 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $52 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $52 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $52 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $105 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $105 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $222 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $51 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $51 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $52 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $52 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $205 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $52 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $52 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $52 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $52 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $56 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $50 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $161 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $26 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -42.8% -48.2% 31% 29% -32.4%
≤30d 157 -32.0% -38.5% 40% 36% -29.9%
≤90d 603 -20.3% -27.9% 50% 43% -21.6%
all 881 -13.8% -22.0% 54% 46% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.0% 46% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.4% 39% -21.2%
15% -36.3% 28% -28.8%
20% -42.5% 17% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $30.66 · 3500 history records