Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:17:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb32d…d18f
sports · 354 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$135 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$123 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$123
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses108 / 235
Est. fees paid−$40
Open positions11
Markets (closed)343 / 354
History coverage15d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day82.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 11 History 343 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$62
14 days−$92
30 days−$123
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 56¢ 52¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-7%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 32¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+206%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 18¢ 100¢ $1 $7 +$6 (+455%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 41¢ 48¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 19¢ 26¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+31%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 28¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-44%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Raul Brancaccio 15¢ 14¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-3%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-96%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Mayar Sherif 31¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Over 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Varvara Lepchenko 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner WLGaming Esports 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Botswana vs Rwanda Botswana 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Hubert Hurkacz 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $2 +$3 +223%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $8 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $6 −$2 -27%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $20 +$24 +122%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $19 −$14 -73%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $8 −$1 -8%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $19 −$4 -23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$4 -49%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $10 −$5 -53%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $9 $0 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 +$4 +34%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$13 +495%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 +$4 +188%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $27 −$13 -49%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $13 +$5 +36%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $12 −$10 -89%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $14 +$3 +25%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $4 +$17 +401%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $2 −$1 -81%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$3 +70%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $6 +$1 +12%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $7 $0 +3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $12 −$9 -80%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 +$8 +61%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $9 −$2 -20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 +$1 +33%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $7 −$1 -22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$112
other 5% −$24
crypto 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 15¢ $0 18m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Raul Brancaccio 18¢ $1 23m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 15¢ $1 24m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 19¢ $1 25m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 20¢ $1 25m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 4¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Henrique Rocha 31¢ $1 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 4¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 19¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 26¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Henrique Rocha 31¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 15¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 45¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 30¢ $2 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 39¢ $2 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 38¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 35¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 19¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 26¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 32¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi SELL Elizabeth Mandlik 32¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 37¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 7¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 30¢ $2 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 3¢ $3 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 7¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 7¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur SELL Benjamin Bonzi 23¢ $4 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 18¢ $2 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 239 -14.0% -22.2% 33% 25% -13.8%
≤30d 343 -18.8% -26.6% 31% 24% -16.0%
≤90d 343 -18.8% -26.6% 31% 24% -16.0%
all 343 -18.8% -26.6% 31% 24% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.6% 24% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -33.6% 20% -24.1%
15% -40.0% 17% -31.4%
20% -45.9% 15% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.77 · official $35.62 · 1307 history records