Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:50:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb33b…e7b9
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$113
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)2 / 7
History coverage16d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 5 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $35 $40 +$5 (+13%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $41 $40 −$1 (-3%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-14%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $2 $0 -6%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $13 −$3 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 59m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 1h
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 6¢ $5 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 7¢ $7 1h
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 5d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $3 5d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 11d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 11d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $8 11d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 13d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $12 15d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $4 15d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $4 15d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 3¢ $4 15d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 16d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $13 16d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $41 16d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 16d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $41 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -14.6% -22.8% 0% 0% -28.2%
≤30d 2 -14.6% -22.8% 0% 0% -28.2%
≤90d 2 -14.6% -22.8% 0% 0% -28.2%
all 2 -14.6% -22.8% 0% 0% -28.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.8% 0% -28.2%
10% -30.2% 0% -35.0%
15% -36.9% 0% -41.3%
20% -43.1% 0% -47.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $112.65 · official $112.71 (match) · 39 history records