trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +45.4% | +31.5% | 38% | 38% | -14.4% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +39.0% | +25.7% | 44% | 44% | -14.4% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +15.8% | +4.7% | 42% | 31% | -17.3% |
| all | 29 | +11.0% | +0.4% | 41% | 31% | -44.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.4% | 31% | -44.0% |
| 10% | -9.2% | 31% | -49.4% |
| 15% | -18.0% | 31% | -54.3% |
| 20% | -26.0% | 24% | -58.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 18¢ | 1¢ | $9 | $0 | −$9 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $86 | −$85 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $107 | −$105 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $82 | +$161 | +197% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $31 | +$72 | +234% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $30 | +$31 | +103% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$14 | +450% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$17 | -56% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$74 | +360% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $23 | +$26 | +110% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $82 | −$81 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $43 | +$70 | +162% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $53 | +$21 | +40% |
| Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | Apr 19 | $3 | −$3 | -94% |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election | Apr 19 | $3 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Apr 19 | $45 | −$21 | -46% |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 19 | $8 | −$4 | -56% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 13 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 12 | $4 | −$3 | -83% |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 12 | $4 | −$1 | -27% |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Nov 30 | $124 | −$105 | -84% |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | Nov 16 | $72 | +$33 | +46% |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Oct 19 | $1,780 | −$944 | -53% |